Shamrock Rovers 0-1 Molde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 20 Feb 2025

📅20/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.65
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
48%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.1
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.54
6+ Goals
8%
14.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 28% vs market 25.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
8.72
1/2
9%
23.85
1/X
6%
16.95
X/1
11%
10.35
X/2
12%
4.03
X/X
12%
5.05
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.07
2/X
5%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
19%
+10.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
48%
Away Win
57%
-9.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.6pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Molde EU Bookmakers 61%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.39/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.98
-62% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -20%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 80%
13.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
13.0 Crosses 15.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Molde
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.56 xG 1.43
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
371 Passes 467
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.02.2025 Molde Molde 0-1 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers AVKL
13.10.2022 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 0-2 HT 0-1 Molde Molde AVKL
06.10.2022 Molde Molde 3-0 HT 1-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
0-1
AWAY Molde
0.87 xG 1.14
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
518 Passes 472
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 19
30 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs Molde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Molde squeezed past Shamrock Rovers 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Molde as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 53% of the ball to Molde's 47%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.87 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Molde led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 1.67 for Molde.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Molde?

Shamrock Rovers 0-1 Molde in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 20/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs Molde?

Before kick-off our model rated an Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 29%, draw 23%, Molde 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Molde), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Molde) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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