Bourg en Bresse 01 0-3 Orleans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 20 Feb 2026

📅20/02/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.68
Over
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.59
2-3
41%
1.7
4-5
20%
4.0
6+
9%
19.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.25
1/2
9%
30.0
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
17%
5.77
X/2
9%
5.14
X/X
13%
4.18
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
16%
3.56
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.8pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bourg en Bresse 01 The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Orleans The Market 42%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
0.80/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.07
-35% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
288 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bourg en Bresse 01
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Orleans
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.09.2025 Orleans Orleans 1-0 HT 1-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
21.03.2025 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 0-0 HT 0-0 Orleans Orleans FR3
23.10.2024 Orleans Orleans 1-0 HT 0-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
28.04.2023 Orleans Orleans 1-0 HT 1-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
09.12.2022 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 1-1 HT 0-0 Orleans Orleans FR3
29.04.2022 Orleans Orleans 0-0 HT 0-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
POST-MATCH Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Orleans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orleans ran out comfortable winners over Bourg en Bresse 01 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Orleans found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orleans led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Bourg en Bresse 01 and 0.67 for Orleans.

What was the final score of Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Orleans?

Bourg en Bresse 01 0-3 Orleans in the France - National League 1 on 20/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Orleans?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bourg en Bresse 01 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bourg en Bresse 01 40%, draw 26%, Orleans 34%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Bourg en Bresse 01), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bourg en Bresse 01) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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