Villefranche 1-2 Dijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 20 Feb 2026

📅20/02/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.87
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
47%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.62
Over
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.42
2-3
39%
1.7
4-5
19%
4.33
6+
9%
23.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
7.06
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
6%
15.85
X/1
7%
8.19
X/2
17%
4.16
X/X
15%
4.12
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
23%
2.51
2/X
8%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
24%
Home Win
22%
+1.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
47%
Away Win
50%
-3.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villefranche The Market 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Dijon The Market 55%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.10/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.95
-2% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
279 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villefranche
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Dijon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.09.2025 Dijon Dijon 0-0 HT 0-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
18.04.2025 Dijon Dijon 2-0 HT 1-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
06.12.2024 Villefranche Villefranche 1-0 HT 0-0 Dijon Dijon FR3
16.02.2024 Villefranche Villefranche 4-0 HT 3-0 Dijon Dijon FR3
08.09.2023 Dijon Dijon 2-0 HT 1-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villefranche
1-2
AWAY Dijon
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Villefranche vs Dijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dijon edged past Villefranche 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dijon as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Villefranche had 45% of the ball to Dijon's 55%, shots finished 9-22.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Villefranche and 0.80 for Dijon.

What was the final score of Villefranche vs Dijon?

Villefranche 1-2 Dijon in the France - National League 1 on 20/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villefranche vs Dijon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dijon win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Villefranche 24%, draw 29%, Dijon 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dijon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dijon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR3 More France - National League 1
20 Feb 2026
21:30 Aubagne vs Quevilly Analysis →
21:30 Concarneau vs Versailles Analysis →
21:30 Caen vs Sochaux Analysis →
21:30 Rouen vs Le Puy Analysis →
21:30 Paris 13 Atletico vs Valenciennes Analysis →
21:30 Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Orleans Analysis →