Rouen 1-1 Le Puy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 20 Feb 2026

Rouen
1-1 HT 1-1
Le Puy
📅20/02/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
23%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.62
Over
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.43
2-3
43%
1.7
4-5
18%
4.31
6+
6%
23.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.11
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
17%
4.66
X/2
12%
6.51
X/X
15%
4.02
2/1
10%
29.0
2/2
7%
5.17
2/X
8%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
47%
Home Win
44%
+3.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
23%
Away Win
28%
-5.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rouen The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Puy The Market 32%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.19/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.24
-15% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
286 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 197 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rouen
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Le Puy
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.09.2025 Le Puy Le Puy 0-3 HT 0-2 Rouen Rouen FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rouen
1-1
AWAY Le Puy
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rouen vs Le Puy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rouen and Le Puy couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rouen at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Rouen had 55% of the ball to Le Puy's 45%, shots finished 17-8.

What was the final score of Rouen vs Le Puy?

Rouen 1-1 Le Puy in the France - National League 1 on 20/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rouen vs Le Puy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rouen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Rouen 47%, draw 30%, Le Puy 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rouen), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rouen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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