Aubagne 0-1 Quevilly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 20 Feb 2026

📅20/02/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.51
Over
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2.17
2-3
37%
1.72
4-5
20%
4.99
6+
8%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.92
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
9%
14.3
X/1
15%
4.39
X/2
12%
7.13
X/X
13%
3.7
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
13%
6.11
2/X
6%
15.3
Value flag · 1/X at 14.3 — our 9% vs market 4.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.5pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aubagne The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Quevilly The Market 29%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
0.86/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.45
-39% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aubagne
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Quevilly
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.09.2025 Quevilly Quevilly 1-2 HT 1-1 Aubagne Aubagne FR3
22.03.2025 Quevilly Quevilly 1-0 HT 1-0 Aubagne Aubagne FR3
23.10.2024 Aubagne Aubagne 1-1 HT 1-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR3
POST-MATCH Aubagne vs Quevilly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quevilly edged past Aubagne 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Aubagne at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aubagne and 1.00 for Quevilly.

What was the final score of Aubagne vs Quevilly?

Aubagne 0-1 Quevilly in the France - National League 1 on 20/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aubagne vs Quevilly?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aubagne win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Aubagne 41%, draw 27%, Quevilly 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aubagne) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aubagne) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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