Paris 13 Atletico 1-1 Valenciennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 20 Feb 2026

📅20/02/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.6
Over
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.41
2-3
44%
1.7
4-5
18%
4.35
6+
8%
23.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.28
1/2
9%
32.0
1/X
8%
13.55
X/1
12%
5.75
X/2
14%
5.27
X/X
16%
3.87
2/1
10%
34.0
2/2
15%
3.73
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.4pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.2pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris 13 Atletico The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Valenciennes The Market 40%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
0.65/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.34
-46% / +115% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paris 13 Atletico
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Valenciennes
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
12.09.2025 Valenciennes Valenciennes 1-0 HT 0-0 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico FR3
02.05.2025 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico 1-1 HT 1-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR3
10.01.2025 Valenciennes Valenciennes 1-1 HT 1-1 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris 13 Atletico
1-1
AWAY Valenciennes
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paris 13 Atletico vs Valenciennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris 13 Atletico and Valenciennes couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Paris 13 Atletico had 49% of the ball to Valenciennes's 51%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Valenciennes led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Paris 13 Atletico and 1.00 for Valenciennes.

What was the final score of Paris 13 Atletico vs Valenciennes?

Paris 13 Atletico 1-1 Valenciennes in the France - National League 1 on 20/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris 13 Atletico vs Valenciennes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valenciennes win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Paris 13 Atletico 33%, draw 30%, Valenciennes 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Valenciennes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valenciennes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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