Larne FC 2-3 Carrick Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 20 Feb 2026

📅20/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
64%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.81
Away
14%
4.76
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.9
Over
50%
1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.27
2-3
47%
1.74
4-5
22%
3.23
6+
5%
11.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
2.02
1/2
1%
34.0
1/X
4%
15.25
X/1
21%
4.0
X/2
6%
10.3
X/X
14%
5.42
2/1
3%
22.65
2/2
7%
8.47
2/X
4%
17.1
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Larne FC The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrick Rangers The Market 21%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.99 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.99
0.57 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.79
Average Attack Strength Strong
Great Defense Strength Weak
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
416 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Larne FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Carrick Rangers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
26.12.2025 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-2 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
20.09.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
04.03.2025 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
04.02.2025 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-2 HT 1-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
26.12.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
26.12.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-2 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
REVIEW Larne FC vs Carrick Rangers
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Carrick Rangers found just enough to beat Larne FC 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

This one beat our numbers. Larne FC carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Larne FC and 0.67 for Carrick Rangers.

Larne FC vs Carrick Rangers Result & Final Score

Larne FC 2 - 3 Carrick Rangers in the North Ireland - Premier League on 20/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Larne FC vs Carrick Rangers Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Larne FC 64%, draw 22%, Carrick Rangers 14%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Larne FC)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRL More North Ireland - Premier League
20 Feb 2026
22:45 Coleraine FC vs Ballymena United Analysis →