Appalachian 0-3 One Knoxville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 20 Mar 2025

📅20/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
48%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+4.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.5pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-2.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.6pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Appalachian EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 55%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+39% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses
6.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Appalachian
0-3
AWAY One Knoxville
0.52 xG 0.67
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
164 Passes 332
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Appalachian vs One Knoxville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

One Knoxville swept aside Appalachian 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had One Knoxville as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Appalachian had 37% of the ball to One Knoxville's 63%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.52 to 0.67.

What was the final score of Appalachian vs One Knoxville?

Appalachian 0-3 One Knoxville in the USA - Open Cup on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Appalachian vs One Knoxville?

Before kick-off our model rated an One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Appalachian 29%, draw 23%, One Knoxville 48%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (One Knoxville), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (One Knoxville) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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