Lexington vs South. Indiana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lexington v South. Indiana — Team-Based Signals
Lexington 5-0 South. Indiana — Actual Match Statistics
Lexington ran out comfortable winners over South. Indiana 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lexington as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Lexington had 82% of the ball to South. Indiana's 18%, shots finished 21-2, expected goals 2.82 to 0.18.
What was the final score of Lexington vs South. Indiana?
Lexington 5-0 South. Indiana in the USA - Open Cup on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lexington vs South. Indiana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lexington win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Lexington 57%, draw 20%, South. Indiana 23%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lexington), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.