Richmond Kickers vs Virginia Dream Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Richmond Kickers v Virginia Dream — Team-Based Signals
Richmond Kickers 1-3 Virginia Dream — Actual Match Statistics
Virginia Dream saw off Richmond Kickers 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
This one beat our numbers. Richmond Kickers carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Richmond Kickers had 64% of the ball to Virginia Dream's 36%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 0.87 to 1.94.
What was the final score of Richmond Kickers vs Virginia Dream?
Richmond Kickers 1-3 Virginia Dream in the USA - Open Cup on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Richmond Kickers vs Virginia Dream?
Before kick-off our model rated a Richmond Kickers win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Richmond Kickers 59%, draw 19%, Virginia Dream 21%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Richmond Kickers) went the other way.