Sporting Kansas City II 1-2 Des Moines Menace — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 20 Mar 2025

📅20/03/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.3pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Kansas City II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Des Moines Menace EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Kansas City II
1-2
AWAY Des Moines Menace
1.30 xG 2.05
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 4
469 Passes 249
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 13
32 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Kansas City II vs Des Moines Menace
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Des Moines Menace edged past Sporting Kansas City II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Kansas City II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sporting Kansas City II had 63% of the ball to Des Moines Menace's 37%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.30 to 2.05.

What was the final score of Sporting Kansas City II vs Des Moines Menace?

Sporting Kansas City II 1-2 Des Moines Menace in the USA - Open Cup on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Kansas City II vs Des Moines Menace?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Kansas City II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sporting Kansas City II 41%, draw 25%, Des Moines Menace 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting Kansas City II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Kansas City II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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