Inter Miami II 4-2 Miami United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 20 Mar 2025

📅20/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.49
No
36%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
48%
-9.9pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.8pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.0pp
64%
BTTS Yes
63%
+1.0pp
36%
BTTS No
37%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Miami II EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Miami United EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +140%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
Crosses 15.3
Yellow Cards 3.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Miami II
4-2
AWAY Miami United
1.42 xG 0.52
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
388 Passes 225
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
11 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Inter Miami II vs Miami United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami II beat Miami United 4-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Inter Miami II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Inter Miami II had 60% of the ball to Miami United's 40%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.42 to 0.52.

What was the final score of Inter Miami II vs Miami United?

Inter Miami II 4-2 Miami United in the USA - Open Cup on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Miami II vs Miami United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Miami II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Inter Miami II 38%, draw 29%, Miami United 32%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Miami II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter Miami II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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