Chattanooga 1-0 Corpus Christi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 20 Mar 2025

📅20/03/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.61
Draw
18%
4.08
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
58%
+1.9pp
18%
Draw
21%
-3.2pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.6pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chattanooga EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Corpus Christi EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chattanooga
1-0
AWAY Corpus Christi
0.99 xG 0.24
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 0
603 Passes 426
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 3
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Chattanooga vs Corpus Christi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chattanooga edged past Corpus Christi 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chattanooga as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chattanooga had 57% of the ball to Corpus Christi's 43%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.99 to 0.24.

What was the final score of Chattanooga vs Corpus Christi?

Chattanooga 1-0 Corpus Christi in the USA - Open Cup on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chattanooga vs Corpus Christi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chattanooga win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Chattanooga 60%, draw 18%, Corpus Christi 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chattanooga) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chattanooga) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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