El Paso Locomotive 5-1 Harpos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 20 Mar 2025

📅20/03/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.18
Draw
15%
7.13
Away
21%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
4%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
81%
-17.3pp
15%
Draw
12%
+3.5pp
21%
Away Win
7%
+13.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.5pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Paso Locomotive EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Harpos EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
419 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Paso Locomotive
5-1
AWAY Harpos
1.58 xG 0.39
70% Ball Possession 30%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
15 Corners 2
474 Passes 174
88% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 7
28 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH El Paso Locomotive vs Harpos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Paso Locomotive swept aside Harpos 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had El Paso Locomotive as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, El Paso Locomotive had 70% of the ball to Harpos's 30%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.58 to 0.39.

What was the final score of El Paso Locomotive vs Harpos?

El Paso Locomotive 5-1 Harpos in the USA - Open Cup on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Paso Locomotive vs Harpos?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Paso Locomotive win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split El Paso Locomotive 64%, draw 15%, Harpos 21%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Paso Locomotive), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (El Paso Locomotive) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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