Little Rock Rangers vs Birmingham Legion Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Little Rock Rangers v Birmingham Legion — Team-Based Signals
Little Rock Rangers 1-0 Birmingham Legion — Actual Match Statistics
Little Rock Rangers nicked a narrow win over Birmingham Legion 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Birmingham Legion at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Little Rock Rangers had 36% of the ball to Birmingham Legion's 64%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.75 to 1.63 — the balance of chances actually favoured Birmingham Legion.
What was the final score of Little Rock Rangers vs Birmingham Legion?
Little Rock Rangers 1-0 Birmingham Legion in the USA - Open Cup on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Little Rock Rangers vs Birmingham Legion?
Before kick-off our model rated an Birmingham Legion win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Little Rock Rangers 28%, draw 28%, Birmingham Legion 43%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.