Real Monarchs vs El Farolito Prediction — Model Probabilities
Real Monarchs v El Farolito — Team-Based Signals
Real Monarchs 1-3 El Farolito — Actual Match Statistics
El Farolito beat Real Monarchs 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We leaned Real Monarchs at 49% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Real Monarchs had 71% of the ball to El Farolito's 29%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 0.72 to 2.30.
Real Monarchs vs El Farolito Result & Final Score
Real Monarchs 1 - 3 El Farolito in the USA - Open Cup on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Real Monarchs vs El Farolito Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Real Monarchs win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Real Monarchs 49%, draw 24%, El Farolito 27%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Monarchs) went the other way.