Bulgaristan 1-2 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 20 Mar 2025

Bulgaristan
1-2 HT 1-2
İrlanda Cumhuriyeti
📅20/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
UEFA Uluslar League – 2024/2025

Bulgaristan vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.45
Over 2.5
42%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.05
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
14%
5.83
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.27
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
11%
14.75
X/1
15%
6.29
X/2
7%
4.82
X/X
13%
3.38
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
23%
3.5
2/X
6%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+4.6pp
29%
Draw
32%
-2.5pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
65%
-6.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
35%
+6.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.4pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bulgaristan v İrlanda Cumhuriyeti — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bulgaristan EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY İrlanda Cumhuriyeti EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.14/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.06
+15% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
12.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
12.9 Crosses 18.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0

Bulgaristan vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bulgaristan
0W-5D-1L
AWAY İrlanda Cumhuriyeti
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.09 xG 1.72
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
300 Passes 482
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
18.11.2020 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti İrlanda Cumhuriyeti 0-0 HT 0-0 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan AVUL
03.09.2020 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan 1-1 HT 0-0 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti İrlanda Cumhuriyeti AVUL
10.09.2019 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti İrlanda Cumhuriyeti 3-1 HT 0-0 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan HAZ
06.06.2009 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan 1-1 HT 1-1 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti İrlanda Cumhuriyeti DKE
28.03.2009 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti İrlanda Cumhuriyeti 1-1 HT 1-0 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan DKE
18.08.2004 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti İrlanda Cumhuriyeti 1-1 HT 1-0 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan HAZ

Bulgaristan 1-2 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bulgaristan
1-2
AWAY İrlanda Cumhuriyeti
0.32 xG 1.85
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
423 Passes 312
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
8 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bulgaristan vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İrlanda Cumhuriyeti nicked a narrow win over Bulgaristan 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; İrlanda Cumhuriyeti found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bulgaristan had 56% of the ball to İrlanda Cumhuriyeti's 44%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.32 to 1.85 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold İrlanda Cumhuriyeti's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, İrlanda Cumhuriyeti led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bulgaristan and 1.17 for İrlanda Cumhuriyeti.

What was the final score of Bulgaristan vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti?

Bulgaristan 1-2 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti in the UEFA Uluslar League on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bulgaristan vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti?

Before kick-off our model rated an İrlanda Cumhuriyeti win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bulgaristan 34%, draw 29%, İrlanda Cumhuriyeti 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İrlanda Cumhuriyeti) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İrlanda Cumhuriyeti) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVUL More UEFA Uluslar League
20 Mar 2025
20:00 Türkiye vs Macaristan Analysis →
20:00 Ermenistan vs Gürcistan Analysis →
22:45 Yunanistan vs İskoçya Analysis →
22:45 Avusturya vs Sırbistan Analysis →
22:45 Ukrayna vs Belçika Analysis →
22:45 İtalya vs Almanya Analysis →