Ermenistan 0-3 Gürcistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 20 Mar 2025

Ermenistan
0-3 HT 0-2
Gürcistan
📅20/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
UEFA Uluslar League – 2024/2025

Ermenistan vs Gürcistan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.61
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.19
6+ Goals
7%
21.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 35% vs market 31.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
5.42
1/2
5%
28.0
1/X
3%
14.25
X/1
11%
6.88
X/2
12%
4.68
X/X
19%
4.13
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
30%
2.99
2/X
6%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
28%
-3.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
47%
Away Win
44%
+3.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.1pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ermenistan v Gürcistan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ermenistan EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Gürcistan EU Bookmakers 48%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.18/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/1.33
-54% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -58%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
320 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 81%
11.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
9.5 Crosses 12.0
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.0

Ermenistan vs Gürcistan Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ermenistan
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Gürcistan
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.58 xG 1.72
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
224 Passes 500
72% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.11.2020 Gürcistan Gürcistan 1-2 HT 0-1 Ermenistan Ermenistan AVUL
11.10.2020 Ermenistan Ermenistan 2-2 HT 1-0 Gürcistan Gürcistan AVUL
09.02.2011 Ermenistan Ermenistan 1-2 HT 0-2 Gürcistan Gürcistan HAZ

Ermenistan 0-3 Gürcistan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ermenistan
0-3
AWAY Gürcistan
0.31 xG 1.73
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
342 Passes 527
84% Pass Accuracy 89%
11 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ermenistan vs Gürcistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gürcistan ran out comfortable winners over Ermenistan 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gürcistan as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Ermenistan had 41% of the ball to Gürcistan's 59%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.31 to 1.73.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ermenistan and 1.67 for Gürcistan.

What was the final score of Ermenistan vs Gürcistan?

Ermenistan 0-3 Gürcistan in the UEFA Uluslar League on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ermenistan vs Gürcistan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gürcistan win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ermenistan 25%, draw 28%, Gürcistan 47%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gürcistan), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gürcistan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVUL More UEFA Uluslar League
20 Mar 2025
20:00 Türkiye vs Macaristan Analysis →
22:45 Yunanistan vs İskoçya Analysis →
22:45 Avusturya vs Sırbistan Analysis →
22:45 Ukrayna vs Belçika Analysis →
22:45 İtalya vs Almanya Analysis →
22:45 Danimarka vs Portekiz Analysis →