Danimarka 1-0 Portekiz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 20 Mar 2025

Danimarka
1-0 HT 0-0
Portekiz
📅20/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
UEFA Uluslar League – 2024/2025

Danimarka vs Portekiz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.89
6+ Goals
10%
17.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 33% vs market 28.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.16
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
14%
6.84
X/2
10%
4.86
X/X
17%
4.23
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.04
2/X
5%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+3.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.2pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-5.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.0pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Danimarka v Portekiz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Danimarka EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Portekiz EU Bookmakers 48%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.41/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.03
+61% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -38%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 82%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.5
17.6 Crosses 31.4
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.6

Danimarka vs Portekiz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Danimarka
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Portekiz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
382 Passes 316
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
The Meetings
08.10.2015 Portekiz Portekiz 1-0 HT 0-0 Danimarka Danimarka AVŞE
14.10.2014 Danimarka Danimarka 0-1 HT 0-0 Portekiz Portekiz AVŞE
13.06.2012 Danimarka Danimarka 2-3 HT 1-2 Portekiz Portekiz AVR
11.10.2011 Danimarka Danimarka 2-1 HT 1-0 Portekiz Portekiz AVR
08.10.2010 Portekiz Portekiz 3-1 HT 2-0 Danimarka Danimarka AVR
05.09.2009 Danimarka Danimarka 1-1 HT 1-0 Portekiz Portekiz DKE

Danimarka 1-0 Portekiz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Danimarka
1-0
AWAY Portekiz
2.78 xG 0.51
44% Ball Possession 56%
23 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
392 Passes 491
89% Pass Accuracy 89%
41 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Danimarka vs Portekiz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Danimarka squeezed past Portekiz 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Danimarka found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Danimarka had 44% of the ball to Portekiz's 56%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 2.78 to 0.51 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Danimarka's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portekiz led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Danimarka and 1.67 for Portekiz.

What was the final score of Danimarka vs Portekiz?

Danimarka 1-0 Portekiz in the UEFA Uluslar League on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Danimarka vs Portekiz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Portekiz win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Danimarka 33%, draw 30%, Portekiz 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Portekiz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portekiz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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