Ukrayna 3-1 Belçika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 20 Mar 2025

📅20/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
46%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.76
2-3 Goals
34%
1.74
4-5 Goals
28%
3.95
6+ Goals
7%
18.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.68
1/2
4%
26.5
1/X
6%
14.8
X/1
12%
8.19
X/2
18%
4.39
X/X
8%
4.3
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.55
2/X
11%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+5.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-3.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ukrayna EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Belçika EU Bookmakers 53%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+0% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -19%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
Crosses 15.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ukrayna
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Belçika
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.82 xG 0.88
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
313 Passes 493
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.06.2024 Ukrayna Ukrayna 0-0 HT 0-0 Belçika Belçika AVR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ukrayna
3-1
AWAY Belçika
2.82 xG 0.59
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
345 Passes 444
86% Pass Accuracy 89%
26 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ukrayna vs Belçika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ukrayna saw off Belçika 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Belçika at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ukrayna had 45% of the ball to Belçika's 55%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 2.82 to 0.59.

What was the final score of Ukrayna vs Belçika?

Ukrayna 3-1 Belçika in the UEFA Uluslar League on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ukrayna vs Belçika?

Before kick-off our model rated an Belçika win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ukrayna 29%, draw 25%, Belçika 46%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Belçika) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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