Avusturya 1-1 Sırbistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 20 Mar 2025

📅20/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.66
Draw
19%
3.45
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.78
Over 2.5
55%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.95
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.7
6+ Goals
15%
15.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.15
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
14.35
X/1
18%
4.14
X/2
5%
10.05
X/X
11%
4.71
2/1
9%
25.0
2/2
11%
8.48
2/X
4%
16.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
56%
+4.5pp
19%
Draw
25%
-6.0pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+1.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-7.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+7.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avusturya EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Sırbistan EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
2.35/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.71
+150% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
35.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.7
27.0 Crosses 13.9
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avusturya
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Sırbistan
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.32 xG 0.85
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
361 Passes 298
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 0
04.06.2024 Avusturya Avusturya 2-1 HT 2-1 Sırbistan Sırbistan HAZ
06.10.2017 Avusturya Avusturya 3-2 HT 1-1 Sırbistan Sırbistan DKE
09.10.2016 Sırbistan Sırbistan 3-2 HT 2-1 Avusturya Avusturya DKE
06.06.2009 Sırbistan Sırbistan 1-0 HT 1-0 Avusturya Avusturya DKE
15.10.2008 Avusturya Avusturya 1-3 HT 0-3 Sırbistan Sırbistan DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avusturya
1-1
AWAY Sırbistan
1.80 xG 0.33
69% Ball Possession 31%
24 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
537 Passes 206
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
38 Box Touches 7
28 Crosses 6
POST-MATCH Avusturya vs Sırbistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avusturya and Sırbistan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Avusturya carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Avusturya had 69% of the ball to Sırbistan's 31%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 1.80 to 0.33.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sırbistan led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Avusturya and 2.00 for Sırbistan.

What was the final score of Avusturya vs Sırbistan?

Avusturya 1-1 Sırbistan in the UEFA Uluslar League on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avusturya vs Sırbistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avusturya win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Avusturya 60%, draw 19%, Sırbistan 20%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Avusturya) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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