Özbekistan vs Kırgızistan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Özbekistan v Kırgızistan — Team-Based Signals
Özbekistan vs Kırgızistan Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Özbekistan
HAZ
Özbekistan 1-0 Kırgızistan — Actual Match Statistics
Özbekistan edged past Kırgızistan 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Özbekistan as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Özbekistan had 74% of the ball to Kırgızistan's 26%, shots finished 26-1, expected goals 3.34 to 0.05 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Özbekistan's control.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Özbekistan had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Özbekistan and 1.00 for Kırgızistan.
What was the final score of Özbekistan vs Kırgızistan?
Özbekistan 1-0 Kırgızistan in the World Cup Qualifiers on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Özbekistan vs Kırgızistan?
Before kick-off our model rated a Özbekistan win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Özbekistan 64%, draw 21%, Kırgızistan 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Özbekistan), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.