Irak 2-2 Kuveyt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 20 Mar 2025

Irak
2-2 HT 0-1
Kuveyt
📅20/03/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.34
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.51
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.84
6+ Goals
7%
17.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 32% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
70%
-12.3pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.4pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+7.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.1pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Irak EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Kuveyt EU Bookmakers 14%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.46/0.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.85
-12% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -9%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
399 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
12.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.6
13.1 Crosses 7.9
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Irak
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Kuveyt
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.99 xG 0.13
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
280 Passes 444
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 8
12 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
10.09.2024 Kuveyt Kuveyt 0-0 HT 0-0 Irak Irak DKE
14.11.2014 Irak Irak 0-1 HT 0-0 Kuveyt Kuveyt AKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Irak
2-2
AWAY Kuveyt
1.22 xG 1.33
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 0
359 Passes 203
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
40 Box Touches 3
42 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Irak vs Kuveyt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Irak and Kuveyt couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Irak carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Irak had 62% of the ball to Kuveyt's 38%, shots finished 18-4, expected goals 1.22 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kuveyt led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Irak and 0.50 for Kuveyt.

What was the final score of Irak vs Kuveyt?

Irak 2-2 Kuveyt in the World Cup Qualifiers on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Irak vs Kuveyt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Irak win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Irak 58%, draw 24%, Kuveyt 18%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Irak) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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