Sierra Leone vs Gine Bissau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sierra Leone v Gine Bissau — Team-Based Signals
Sierra Leone vs Gine Bissau Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Sierra Leone
AFUK
2-2
HT 0-0
Gine Bissau
AFUK
Sierra Leone 3-1 Gine Bissau — Actual Match Statistics
Sierra Leone beat Gine Bissau 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (30% / 31% / 39%) promised a tight game; Sierra Leone found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sierra Leone had 39% of the ball to Gine Bissau's 61%, shots finished 9-8.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gine Bissau led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sierra Leone and 2.00 for Gine Bissau.
What was the final score of Sierra Leone vs Gine Bissau?
Sierra Leone 3-1 Gine Bissau in the World Cup Qualifiers on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sierra Leone vs Gine Bissau?
Before kick-off our model rated an Gine Bissau win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sierra Leone 30%, draw 31%, Gine Bissau 39%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.