Yeşil Burun Adaları 1-0 Mauritius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 20 Mar 2025

📅20/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.27
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
18%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.81
No
58%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.98
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.52
6+ Goals
7%
14.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.52 — our 24% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
75%
-12.2pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.2pp
18%
Away Win
7%
+11.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
32%
+9.9pp
58%
BTTS No
68%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeşil Burun Adaları EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Mauritius EU Bookmakers 9%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.23/0.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/2.41
-49% / +130% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
430 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 0.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yeşil Burun Adaları
1-0
AWAY Mauritius
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 0
1 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yeşil Burun Adaları vs Mauritius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yeşil Burun Adaları nicked a narrow win over Mauritius 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Yeşil Burun Adaları as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Yeşil Burun Adaları had 68% of the ball to Mauritius's 32%, shots finished 18-4.

What was the final score of Yeşil Burun Adaları vs Mauritius?

Yeşil Burun Adaları 1-0 Mauritius in the World Cup Qualifiers on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeşil Burun Adaları vs Mauritius?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yeşil Burun Adaları win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Yeşil Burun Adaları 63%, draw 19%, Mauritius 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yeşil Burun Adaları), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yeşil Burun Adaları) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DKE More World Cup Qualifiers
20 Mar 2025
00:00 Malavi vs Namibya Analysis →
12:10 Avustralya vs Endonezya Analysis →
13:35 Japonya vs Bahreyn Analysis →
14:00 Güney Kore vs Umman Analysis →
16:00 Mozambik vs Uganda Analysis →
19:00 Lesotho vs Namibya Analysis →