Emelec vs Independiente Del Valle Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Emelec v Independiente Del Valle — Team-Based Signals
Emelec vs Independiente Del Valle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Emelec
EKV1
2-3
HT 0-0
Independiente Del Valle
EKV1
Emelec 2-0 Independiente Del Valle — Actual Match Statistics
Emelec beat Independiente Del Valle 2-0.
Our pre-match lean was Independiente Del Valle at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Emelec had 36% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 64%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.26 to 0.50.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Emelec and 1.50 for Independiente Del Valle.
What was the final score of Emelec vs Independiente Del Valle?
Emelec 2-0 Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Premier on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Emelec vs Independiente Del Valle?
Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Emelec 29%, draw 24%, Independiente Del Valle 46%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) went the other way.