Orense vs Mushuc Runa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Orense v Mushuc Runa — Team-Based Signals
Orense vs Mushuc Runa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
Orense 3-2 Mushuc Runa — Actual Match Statistics
Orense squeezed past Mushuc Runa 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Orense as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Orense had 46% of the ball to Mushuc Runa's 54%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 1.41 to 1.34.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orense had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Orense and 1.67 for Mushuc Runa.
What was the final score of Orense vs Mushuc Runa?
Orense 3-2 Mushuc Runa in the Ecuador - Premier on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Orense vs Mushuc Runa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Orense win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Orense 46%, draw 26%, Mushuc Runa 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.