Istra 1961 2-1 NK Varazdin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 20 Mar 2026

📅20/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.68
Over
44%
1.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
46%
4-5
19%
6+
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
22%
2/1
2%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Istra 1961 The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY NK Varazdin The Market 37%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.03 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.23
1.25 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.15
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Strong
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
18 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Istra 1961
2W-3D-1L
AWAY NK Varazdin
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.83 xG 1.36
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
340 Passes 315
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.12.2025 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-3 HT 1-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
03.10.2025 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 1-0 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
11.05.2025 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-0 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
08.03.2025 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 0-0 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
07.12.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-0 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
20.09.2024 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-0 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Istra 1961
2 - 1
AWAY NK Varazdin
0.42 xG 1.53
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
261 Passes 328
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 29
24 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Istra 1961 vs NK Varazdin
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Istra 1961 came out on the right side of a one-goal game with NK Varazdin 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

The model refused to pick a side here (35% / 32% / 33%); Istra 1961 picked one for it. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

By the numbers, NK Varazdin saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.42 to 1.53 — the balance of chances actually favoured NK Varazdin.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Istra 1961 had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Istra 1961 against 0.33 for NK Varazdin.

Istra 1961 vs NK Varazdin Result & Final Score

Istra 1961 2 - 1 NK Varazdin in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Istra 1961 vs NK Varazdin Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Istra 1961 win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Istra 1961 35%, draw 32%, NK Varazdin 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Istra 1961), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Istra 1961) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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