Aluminij vs Maribor Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aluminij v Maribor — Team-Based Signals
Aluminij vs Maribor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Maribor
SLVN
Aluminij 1-1 Maribor — Actual Match Statistics
Aluminij and Maribor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
This one beat our numbers. Maribor carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Aluminij had 31% of the ball to Maribor's 69%, shots finished 7-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maribor led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aluminij and 2.67 for Maribor.
What was the final score of Aluminij vs Maribor?
Aluminij 1-1 Maribor in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aluminij vs Maribor?
Before kick-off our model rated an Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Aluminij 22%, draw 23%, Maribor 55%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Maribor) went the other way.