Gernika vs Barbastro Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gernika v Barbastro — Team-Based Signals
Gernika vs Barbastro Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Gernika 2-1 Barbastro — Actual Match Statistics
Gernika nicked a narrow win over Barbastro 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 35% — and on the day Gernika made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Gernika had 57% of the ball to Barbastro's 43%, shots finished 6-8.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Barbastro led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Gernika and 1.50 for Barbastro.
What was the final score of Gernika vs Barbastro?
Gernika 2-1 Barbastro in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gernika vs Barbastro?
Before kick-off our model rated an Barbastro win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Gernika 34%, draw 31%, Barbastro 35%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.