Real Salt Lake 0-1 Toronto FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 20 Apr 2025

Real Salt Lake
0-1 HT 0-1
Toronto FC
📅20/04/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
USA - Major League – 2025

Real Salt Lake vs Toronto FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.91
Over Pick
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.28
2-3
40%
1.77
4-5
23%
3.34
6+
11%
12.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.31
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
10%
14.15
X/1
17%
4.34
X/2
9%
9.15
X/X
9%
5.12
2/1 ✗
8%
23.3
2/2
9%
7.24
2/X
9%
15.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.3 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 52% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Salt Lake v Toronto FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Salt Lake EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Toronto FC EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.68/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.75
+9% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
18.1 Crosses 11.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Real Salt Lake vs Toronto FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Salt Lake
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Toronto FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.48 xG 1.65
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 Passes 366
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.07.2023 Toronto FC Toronto FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
10.04.2022 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 2-2 HT 2-1 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
18.05.2019 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 3-0 HT 2-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
31.03.2018 Toronto FC Toronto FC 3-1 HT 2-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
05.03.2017 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 0-0 HT 0-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
04.08.2016 Toronto FC Toronto FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD

Real Salt Lake 0-1 Toronto FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Salt Lake
0-1
AWAY Toronto FC
0.92 xG 0.28
68% Ball Possession 32%
23 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
475 Passes 193
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 5
24 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Real Salt Lake vs Toronto FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Toronto FC squeezed past Real Salt Lake 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Real Salt Lake at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Real Salt Lake had 68% of the ball to Toronto FC's 32%, shots finished 23-2, expected goals 0.92 to 0.28 — the balance of chances actually favoured Real Salt Lake.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Real Salt Lake and 1.00 for Toronto FC.

What was the final score of Real Salt Lake vs Toronto FC?

Real Salt Lake 0-1 Toronto FC in the USA - Major League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Salt Lake vs Toronto FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Salt Lake win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Real Salt Lake 49%, draw 27%, Toronto FC 24%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Salt Lake) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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