Aalborg 2-3 SonderjyskE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.86
Over
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.37
2-3
37%
1.84
4-5
24%
3.67
6+
10%
14.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.37
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
5%
12.5
X/1
14%
5.42
X/2
16%
6.49
X/X
19%
4.51
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
7%
4.47
2/X
6%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.5pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.7pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalborg EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY SonderjyskE EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.51/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.20
-4% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
301 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 73%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
19.9 Crosses 15.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalborg
3W-2D-1L
AWAY SonderjyskE
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.08 xG 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
329 Passes 373
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 0-3 HT 0-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
29.09.2024 Aalborg Aalborg 3-0 HT 0-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
11.05.2024 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-0 HT 0-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAN1
30.03.2024 Aalborg Aalborg 1-0 HT 0-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN1
24.02.2024 Aalborg Aalborg 2-2 HT 1-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN1
15.09.2023 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-1 HT 1-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aalborg
2-3
AWAY SonderjyskE
1.83 xG 1.76
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 6
379 Passes 206
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 19
29 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aalborg vs SonderjyskE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SonderjyskE squeezed past Aalborg 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and on the day SonderjyskE made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Aalborg had 64% of the ball to SonderjyskE's 36%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.83 to 1.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aalborg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aalborg and 0.67 for SonderjyskE.

What was the final score of Aalborg vs SonderjyskE?

Aalborg 2-3 SonderjyskE in the Denmark - Süperlig on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalborg vs SonderjyskE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aalborg win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Aalborg 39%, draw 31%, SonderjyskE 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aalborg), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aalborg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →