Banga Gargzdai 2-1 FK Dainava Alytus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
29%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
54%
-12.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+10.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.7pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 21%
-64% / -64% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
0.04/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.45
-97% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banga Gargzdai
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-3 HT 0-2 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
21.07.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 3-1 HT 1-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
26.05.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-3 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
06.04.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 2-2 HT 1-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
16.09.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
09.07.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banga Gargzdai
2-1
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Banga Gargzdai vs FK Dainava Alytus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banga Gargzdai nicked a narrow win over FK Dainava Alytus 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Banga Gargzdai as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Banga Gargzdai had 51% of the ball to FK Dainava Alytus's 49%, shots finished 12-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Dainava Alytus led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Banga Gargzdai and 1.83 for FK Dainava Alytus.

What was the final score of Banga Gargzdai vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Banga Gargzdai 2-1 FK Dainava Alytus in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banga Gargzdai vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Banga Gargzdai win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Banga Gargzdai 42%, draw 29%, FK Dainava Alytus 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Banga Gargzdai) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Banga Gargzdai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LITA More Lithuania - 1st Division
20 Apr 2025
18:25 Hegelmann Litauen vs Zalgiris Vilnius Analysis →