Hegelmann Litauen vs Zalgiris Vilnius Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hegelmann Litauen v Zalgiris Vilnius — Team-Based Signals
Hegelmann Litauen vs Zalgiris Vilnius Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Zalgiris Vilnius
LIT1
Hegelmann Litauen 2-1 Zalgiris Vilnius — Actual Match Statistics
Hegelmann Litauen edged past Zalgiris Vilnius 2-1.
Our pre-match lean was Zalgiris Vilnius at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Hegelmann Litauen had 42% of the ball to Zalgiris Vilnius's 58%, shots finished 16-16.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hegelmann Litauen and 0.83 for Zalgiris Vilnius.
What was the final score of Hegelmann Litauen vs Zalgiris Vilnius?
Hegelmann Litauen 2-1 Zalgiris Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hegelmann Litauen vs Zalgiris Vilnius?
Before kick-off our model rated an Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann Litauen 32%, draw 25%, Zalgiris Vilnius 43%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.