Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Los Angeles FC v San Jose Earthquakes — Team-Based Signals
Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Los Angeles FC 1-4 San Jose Earthquakes — Actual Match Statistics
San Jose Earthquakes ran out comfortable winners over Los Angeles FC 4-1 on the road. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
File this under upsets: a 62% lean on Los Angeles FC went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Los Angeles FC had 53% of the ball to San Jose Earthquakes's 47%, shots finished 16-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Los Angeles FC and 1.67 for San Jose Earthquakes.
Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes Result & Final Score
Los Angeles FC 1 - 4 San Jose Earthquakes in the USA - Major League on 20/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles FC 62%, draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 17%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Los Angeles FC) went the other way.