Auda 1-1 BFC Daugavpils — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 20 May 2025

📅20/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.33
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
71%
-10.5pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.8pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+8.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auda EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY BFC Daugavpils EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +14%
1.92/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.57
-26% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +2%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
457 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 70%
33.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
22.9 Crosses 11.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auda
5W-0D-1L
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.47 xG 0.89
68% Ball Possession 32%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
519 Passes 194
87% Pass Accuracy 69%
30 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.04.2025 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 2-1 HT 1-0 Auda Auda LET
26.10.2024 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 1-2 HT 1-0 Auda Auda LET
04.08.2024 Auda Auda 1-0 HT 0-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
28.05.2024 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 0-3 HT 0-1 Auda Auda LET
17.04.2024 Auda Auda 1-0 HT 1-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
11.11.2023 Auda Auda 1-0 HT 0-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auda
1-1
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
3.01 xG 1.55
47% Ball Possession 53%
20 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
311 Passes 356
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 44
17 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Auda vs BFC Daugavpils
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auda and BFC Daugavpils shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Auda carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Auda had 47% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 53%, shots finished 20-20, expected goals 3.01 to 1.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auda had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Auda and 0.50 for BFC Daugavpils.

What was the final score of Auda vs BFC Daugavpils?

Auda 1-1 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 20/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auda vs BFC Daugavpils?

Before kick-off our model rated a Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Auda 60%, draw 20%, BFC Daugavpils 20%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Auda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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