BFC Daugavpils vs Grobina Prediction — Model Probabilities
BFC Daugavpils v Grobina — Team-Based Signals
BFC Daugavpils vs Grobina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
BFC Daugavpils 1-0 Grobina — Actual Match Statistics
BFC Daugavpils came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Grobina 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had BFC Daugavpils as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 47% and both teams to score at 52%.
Under the surface, possession split 53% to 47% in BFC Daugavpils's favour, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 2.98 to 1.42 — on chances created, BFC Daugavpils won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grobina led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for BFC Daugavpils against 1.67 for Grobina.
BFC Daugavpils vs Grobina Result & Final Score
BFC Daugavpils 1 - 0 Grobina in the Latvia - Virsliga on 20/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
BFC Daugavpils vs Grobina Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a BFC Daugavpils win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split BFC Daugavpils 50%, draw 27%, Grobina 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BFC Daugavpils), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.