BFC Daugavpils vs Grobina Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BFC Daugavpils v Grobina — Team-Based Signals
BFC Daugavpils vs Grobina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
BFC Daugavpils 0-1 Grobina — Actual Match Statistics
Grobina squeezed past BFC Daugavpils 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was BFC Daugavpils at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, BFC Daugavpils had 62% of the ball to Grobina's 38%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.47 to 1.19.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for BFC Daugavpils and 1.83 for Grobina.
What was the final score of BFC Daugavpils vs Grobina?
BFC Daugavpils 0-1 Grobina in the Latvia - Virsliga on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BFC Daugavpils vs Grobina?
Before kick-off our model rated a BFC Daugavpils win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split BFC Daugavpils 42%, draw 26%, Grobina 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.