Liepaja vs Riga FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liepaja v Riga FC — Team-Based Signals
Liepaja vs Riga FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Liepaja 2-1 Riga FC — Actual Match Statistics
Liepaja squeezed past Riga FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Riga FC at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, Liepaja had 36% of the ball to Riga FC's 64%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 2.31 to 1.02 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Liepaja's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Liepaja and 3.00 for Riga FC.
What was the final score of Liepaja vs Riga FC?
Liepaja 2-1 Riga FC in the Latvia - Virsliga on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liepaja vs Riga FC?
Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Liepaja 23%, draw 19%, Riga FC 59%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Riga FC) went the other way.