Liepaja 0-4 Riga FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Cup, 18 Sep 2025

📅18/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.65
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
53%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
38%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
18%
+6.6pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.4pp
53%
Away Win
60%
-7.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-2.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+2.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.3pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liepaja EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC EU Bookmakers 64%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liepaja
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Riga FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.92 xG 2.37
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
253 Passes 422
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.07.2025 Liepaja Liepaja 2-3 HT 1-2 Riga FC Riga FC LET
19.05.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
03.04.2025 Liepaja Liepaja 2-5 HT 2-3 Riga FC Riga FC LET
29.09.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
07.07.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 0-3 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
14.05.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 1-1 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
POST-MATCH Liepaja vs Riga FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC swept aside Liepaja 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Liepaja and 2.50 for Riga FC.

What was the final score of Liepaja vs Riga FC?

Liepaja 0-4 Riga FC in the Latvia - Cup on 18/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liepaja vs Riga FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Liepaja 25%, draw 22%, Riga FC 53%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →