Riga FC 3-0 Liepaja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 3 Oct 2025

📅03/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.37
Draw
14%
4.62
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
4%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
69%
-4.3pp
14%
Draw
19%
-4.8pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+9.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.3pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Liepaja EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
2.76/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/2.14
+16% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +15%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
397 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 72%
43.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
30.9 Crosses 14.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Liepaja
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.25 xG 0.84
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
421 Passes 249
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2025 Liepaja Liepaja 0-4 HT 0-2 Riga FC Riga FC LETK
19.07.2025 Liepaja Liepaja 2-3 HT 1-2 Riga FC Riga FC LET
19.05.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
03.04.2025 Liepaja Liepaja 2-5 HT 2-3 Riga FC Riga FC LET
29.09.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
07.07.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 0-3 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Riga FC
3-0
AWAY Liepaja
1.82 xG 1.37
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 Passes 345
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
32 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Riga FC vs Liepaja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC cruised past Liepaja 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Riga FC had 50% of the ball to Liepaja's 50%, shots finished 17-18, expected goals 1.82 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Riga FC and 0.67 for Liepaja.

What was the final score of Riga FC vs Liepaja?

Riga FC 3-0 Liepaja in the Latvia - Virsliga on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC vs Liepaja?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 65%, draw 14%, Liepaja 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →