BFC Daugavpils vs Grobina Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BFC Daugavpils v Grobina — Team-Based Signals
BFC Daugavpils vs Grobina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
BFC Daugavpils 3-2 Grobina — Actual Match Statistics
BFC Daugavpils edged past Grobina 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had BFC Daugavpils as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.
On the day, BFC Daugavpils had 54% of the ball to Grobina's 46%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 3.06 to 2.20.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for BFC Daugavpils and 1.67 for Grobina.
What was the final score of BFC Daugavpils vs Grobina?
BFC Daugavpils 3-2 Grobina in the Latvia - Virsliga on 15/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BFC Daugavpils vs Grobina?
Before kick-off our model rated a BFC Daugavpils win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split BFC Daugavpils 52%, draw 25%, Grobina 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BFC Daugavpils), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.