Al Ansar 3-1 Al Ahed — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 20 Jun 2026

📅20/06/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-0.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ansar EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahed EU Bookmakers 23%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.62/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.25
+16% / +98% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ansar
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Ahed
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
06.12.2025 Al Ahed Al Ahed 1-5 HT 0-3 Al Ansar Al Ansar LUBN
27.06.2025 Al Ansar Al Ansar 4-1 HT 1-0 Al Ahed Al Ahed LUBN
12.05.2025 Al Ansar Al Ansar 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahed Al Ahed LUBN
12.04.2025 Al Ahed Al Ahed 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ansar Al Ansar LUBN
25.02.2025 Al Ahed Al Ahed 2-4 HT 1-2 Al Ansar Al Ansar LUBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ansar
3-1
AWAY Al Ahed
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ansar vs Al Ahed
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ansar got the better of Al Ahed 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ansar as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Al Ansar had 64% of the ball to Al Ahed's 36%, shots finished 15-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Ansar had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Al Ansar and 1.40 for Al Ahed.

What was the final score of Al Ansar vs Al Ahed?

Al Ansar 3-1 Al Ahed in the Lebanon - Premier League on 20/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ansar vs Al Ahed?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ansar win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Ansar 53%, draw 26%, Al Ahed 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ansar) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ansar) ✗ BTTS No
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LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
20 Jun 2026
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