NE MetroStars 1-0 Adelaide Olympic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.27
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.46
Over 2.5
64%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
74%
-13.0pp
20%
Draw
15%
+5.2pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+7.8pp
36%
Under 2.5
25%
+10.4pp
64%
Over 2.5
75%
-10.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.5pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NE MetroStars EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide Olympic EU Bookmakers 14%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.37/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.80
-9% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
425 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NE MetroStars
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Adelaide Olympic
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.04.2024 Adelaide Olympic Adelaide Olympic 4-3 HT 2-1 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
15.07.2023 Adelaide Olympic Adelaide Olympic 1-5 HT 0-2 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVSA
25.04.2023 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 4-0 HT 4-0 Adelaide Olympic Adelaide Olympic AVNPL
28.05.2022 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 2-0 HT 1-0 Adelaide Olympic Adelaide Olympic AVNPL
19.02.2022 Adelaide Olympic Adelaide Olympic 2-3 HT 1-0 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
11.09.2021 Adelaide Olympic Adelaide Olympic 1-1 HT 1-1 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
POST-MATCH NE MetroStars vs Adelaide Olympic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NE MetroStars edged past Adelaide Olympic 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had NE MetroStars as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NE MetroStars had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for NE MetroStars and 1.33 for Adelaide Olympic.

What was the final score of NE MetroStars vs Adelaide Olympic?

NE MetroStars 1-0 Adelaide Olympic in the Australia - National Premier League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NE MetroStars vs Adelaide Olympic?

Before kick-off our model rated a NE MetroStars win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split NE MetroStars 61%, draw 20%, Adelaide Olympic 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NE MetroStars) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NE MetroStars) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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