Perth Glory II 1-6 Bayswater City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
49%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
3.94
Over 2.5
67%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.31
No
34%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+1.1pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.2pp
49%
Away Win
54%
-4.3pp
33%
Under 2.5
22%
+10.8pp
67%
Over 2.5
78%
-10.8pp
66%
BTTS Yes
72%
-6.3pp
34%
BTTS No
28%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth Glory II EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayswater City EU Bookmakers 57%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.13/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/2.15
-19% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -46%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
301 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth Glory II
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bayswater City
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2024 Bayswater City Bayswater City 5-2 HT 1-2 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II AVNPL
24.06.2023 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II 6-3 HT 3-1 Bayswater City Bayswater City AVUSB
01.04.2023 Bayswater City Bayswater City 3-3 HT 3-1 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II AVNPL
11.06.2022 Bayswater City Bayswater City 4-2 HT 1-0 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II AVNPL
10.05.2022 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II 2-2 HT 0-1 Bayswater City Bayswater City AVNPL
03.07.2021 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II 3-0 HT 0-0 Bayswater City Bayswater City AVUSB
POST-MATCH Perth Glory II vs Bayswater City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayswater City swept aside Perth Glory II 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayswater City as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Perth Glory II and 2.83 for Bayswater City.

What was the final score of Perth Glory II vs Bayswater City?

Perth Glory II 1-6 Bayswater City in the Australia - National Premier League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth Glory II vs Bayswater City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayswater City win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory II 27%, draw 24%, Bayswater City 49%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayswater City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayswater City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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