Port Melbourne vs Green Gully Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Port Melbourne v Green Gully — Team-Based Signals
Port Melbourne vs Green Gully Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-0
Green Gully
AVNPL
3-2
HT 2-2
Port Melbourne
AVNPL
1-3
HT 1-1
Port Melbourne
AVNPL
2-0
HT 0-0
Green Gully
AVNPL
2-0
HT 1-0
Green Gully
AVNPL
Port Melbourne nicked a narrow win over Green Gully 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Port Melbourne as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Port Melbourne had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Port Melbourne and 1.33 for Green Gully.
What was the final score of Port Melbourne vs Green Gully?
Port Melbourne 3-2 Green Gully in the Australia - National Premier League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Port Melbourne vs Green Gully?
Before kick-off our model rated a Port Melbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Port Melbourne 42%, draw 28%, Green Gully 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Port Melbourne), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.