Vikingur R. 1-2 Valur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.3pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vikingur R. EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Valur EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.88/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.75
-1% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 81%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.6
18.1 Crosses 18.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vikingur R.
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Valur
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.30 xG 1.76
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 Passes 346
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 27
23 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.04.2025 Valur Valur 1-1 HT 0-1 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
29.09.2024 Valur Valur 2-3 HT 1-1 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
01.09.2024 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 3-2 HT 0-2 Valur Valur İZL
18.06.2024 Valur Valur 2-2 HT 0-1 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
01.04.2024 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 1-1 HT 1-1 Valur Valur İZSK
07.10.2023 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 5-1 HT 1-1 Valur Valur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vikingur R.
1-2
AWAY Valur
1.56 xG 1.98
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
263 Passes 330
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vikingur R. vs Valur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur nicked a narrow win over Vikingur R. 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vikingur R. at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Vikingur R. had 46% of the ball to Valur's 54%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.56 to 1.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vikingur R. had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Vikingur R. and 1.50 for Valur.

What was the final score of Vikingur R. vs Valur?

Vikingur R. 1-2 Valur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vikingur R. vs Valur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Vikingur R. 44%, draw 24%, Valur 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vikingur R.) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vikingur R.) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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