Valour 1-2 Cavalry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
51%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.03
No
62%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.53
2-3 Goals
36%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.29
6+ Goals
8%
22.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.53 — our 36% vs market 32.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
23%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
23%
-0.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
51%
Away Win
52%
-0.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
45%
-7.5pp
62%
BTTS No
55%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valour EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Cavalry EU Bookmakers 56%
-6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.87/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.76
-15% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +19%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 82%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.5
17.1 Crosses 17.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valour
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Cavalry
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.64 xG 1.31
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
284 Passes 373
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2025 Cavalry Cavalry 4-0 HT 1-0 Valour Valour KAPL
19.10.2024 Valour Valour 1-2 HT 1-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
31.08.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 2-2 HT 0-0 Valour Valour KAPL
08.07.2024 Valour Valour 0-1 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
27.05.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 1-1 HT 1-1 Valour Valour CAPL
30.09.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 2-1 HT 1-1 Valour Valour CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valour
1-2
AWAY Cavalry
0.89 xG 1.56
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
476 Passes 383
89% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 17
10 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Valour vs Cavalry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavalry nicked a narrow win over Valour 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cavalry as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Valour had 55% of the ball to Cavalry's 45%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 0.89 to 1.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Valour and 2.00 for Cavalry.

What was the final score of Valour vs Cavalry?

Valour 1-2 Cavalry in the Kanada - Premier League on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valour vs Cavalry?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Valour 23%, draw 26%, Cavalry 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cavalry) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cavalry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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