Tigres UANL vs FC Juarez Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tigres UANL v FC Juarez — Team-Based Signals
Tigres UANL vs FC Juarez Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Tigres UANL
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
FC Juarez
MEK
0-1
HT 0-1
Tigres UANL
MEK
Tigres UANL 1-0 FC Juarez — Actual Match Statistics
Tigres UANL nicked a narrow win over FC Juarez 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tigres UANL as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Tigres UANL had 64% of the ball to FC Juarez's 36%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 1.67 to 0.40 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Tigres UANL's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tigres UANL and 0.33 for FC Juarez.
What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs FC Juarez?
Tigres UANL 1-0 FC Juarez in the Mexico - Primera on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs FC Juarez?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 50%, draw 28%, FC Juarez 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.