Maribor vs Celje Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Maribor v Celje — Team-Based Signals
Maribor vs Celje Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Maribor 1-2 Celje — Actual Match Statistics
Celje edged past Maribor 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Maribor at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Maribor had 36% of the ball to Celje's 64%, shots finished 6-17.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Maribor and 1.33 for Celje.
What was the final score of Maribor vs Celje?
Maribor 1-2 Celje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Maribor vs Celje?
Before kick-off our model rated a Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Maribor 42%, draw 23%, Celje 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.